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Source Population Estimates by Ethnic Group (experimental statistics), Office for National Statistics
Date Released 18 May 2011
National Indicators n/a
Hampshire LAA targets n/a
Date range 2001 - 2009
Published by Profile Online 7 October 2011
Has this analysis been subsequently revised No

Commentary

Until January 2006, Census data provided the only robust source of information regarding a breakdown of the local population by ethnic group.  Data from the 2001 Census detailing the ethnic mix within each of the borough's wards (as they were constituted until May 2008) can be found under Facts and figures for wards.

Since January 2006, however, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has been releasing ‘experimental’ population estimates by ethnic group, initially covering the period 2001-2003, and most recently updated in May 2011 to extend to 2009.  These estimates will retain the status of experimental statistics while development of the methodology continues.  
 

A Statistical Bulletin and other publications providing information on population estimates by ethnic group is available on the ONS website at:
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/peeg/population-estimates-by-ethnic-group--experimental-/current-estimates/index.html 

For more information on experimental statistics in general, follow the link to Definitions 

 

Confidence Levels

The status of these population estimates by ethnic group remains that of experimental statistics, as they have not yet been shown to meet the quality criteria for National Statistics.  Therefore, whilst these estimates represent the best information currently available at local authority level, they should be used with appropriate caution and awareness of their limitations. 

ONS expects to put forward the estimates for assessment for National Statistics status once the estimates and the methodology used to produce them have been quality assured against the results of the 2011 Census. 

Data

The chart below shows the estimated broad age profile for each minority ethnic group within the borough.  


The table below provides the broad age group data utilised in the chart above broken down by gender, together with comparable data for the overall borough population and the 'White:British' majority.  

Estimated resident population by ethnic group, age and sex, mid-2009 (thousands)

Male

Female

Basingstoke & Deane

0-15

16-64

65+

0-15

16-59

60+

All Groups

17.0

54.0

10.2

15.7

48.7

17.6

White: British

15.1

47.3

9.6

14.0

41.9

16.4

White: Irish

0.0

0.5

0.2

0.0

0.4

0.4

White: Other White

0.4

2.1

0.2

0.3

2.3

0.4

Mixed: White and Black Caribbean

0.2

0.2

0.0

0.2

0.2

0.0

Mixed: White and Black African

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.0

Mixed: White and Asian

0.2

0.2

0.0

0.2

0.2

0.0

Mixed: Other Mixed

0.1

0.2

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.0

Asian or Asian British: Indian

0.2

0.8

0.1

0.2

0.8

0.1

Asian or Asian British: Pakistani

0.1

0.4

0.0

0.1

0.3

0.0

Asian or Asian British: Bangladeshi

0.1

0.2

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.0

Asian or Asian British: Other Asian

0.1

0.2

0.0

0.0

0.2

0.0

Black or Black British: Black Caribbean

0.1

0.3

0.0

0.1

0.3

0.1

Black or Black British: Black African

0.1

0.5

0.0

0.1

0.5

0.0

Black or Black British: Other Black

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.0

Chinese or Other Ethnic Group: Chinese

0.1

0.7

0.0

0.1

0.6

0.1

Chinese or Other Ethnic Group: Other

0.1

0.4

0.0

0.1

0.4

0.0

Source: Population Estimates by Ethnic Group (experimental statistics), ONS, May 2011
© Crown copyright 2011

In percentage terms, 88.4% of the borough's population has been estimated as 'White:British' at mid-2009; 0.9% 'White:Irish'; and 3.5% as 'Other White', which includes in-migrants from Old Commonwealth countries as well as people born elsewhere in Europe. 
In the non-White groups, 1.6% of the 2009 population were of 'Mixed' ethnicity; nearly 2.6% were described as 'Asian' or 'Asian British'; over 1.3% 'Black' or 'Black British'; and approximately 1.6% 'Chinese' or 'other ethnic group'.  

Given the nature of these estimates, analysis by age for specific ethnic groups within the borough must be approached with caution, but some notable points are: 
  • The 'White:Irish' group has a relatively elderly population profile - in common with England and Wales as a whole;
  • The 'Other White' group has a larger proportion of working age population;
  • The 'Mixed' ethnicity groups have large proportions of children, and no post-retirement population;
  • All Asian groups are shown to have higher proportions of working age population;
  • Most Asian groups (except Indian) tend to have high proportions of children and no representation indicated beyond retirement age;
  • The Indian population has a low proportion beyond retirement age;
  • Black groups tend to have little post-retirement representation;
  • The Chinese population has a relatively high proportion of working age population, and lower proportions at both ends of the age spectrum.      
The full data set covering population estimates by ethnic group for all local authority areas within England and Wales is available on the ONS website at:
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-reference-tables.html?edition=tcm%3A77-50029 

Time Series

Bearing in mind the experimental status of these estimates, they indicate that whilst the overall population of the borough increased by 10,400 over the 8-year period 2001-2009, the ‘White British’ population increased by only 1,600. The first time-series graph below shows how the population within each broad ethnic group in the borough is estimated to have changed between 2001 and 2009. 

The two broad ethnic groups with the highest rates of growth can be clearly identified as:
  • White (non-British or Irish), increasing by 2,500 to reach 5,600; and
  • Asian or Asian British, increasing by 2,300 to reach 4,200.

The second time-series graph shows a more detailed breakdown of change within the non-White ethnic groups in the borough.

At 1,200 people, the local Indian population was clearly identified as the largest non-White group at the 2001 Census.  Over the period 2001-2009, it is estimated that this group increased by 900 people to reach approximately 2,100 within the borough.   
The fastest growing group, however, is shown to be the borough's Chinese population, which increased by 1,100 people from 500 at 2001 to reach a total of 1,600 at 2009.  
Similarly, over the same period, and from a low base figure in both cases, the borough's Black African population is estimated to have increased from 300 to 1,300, and the local Pakistani population from 200 to 1,000.   

Comparisons

The table below shows how the proportions of the borough population in broad ethnic groups compares with the national, regional and county averages, and with those in other parts of Hampshire, Surrey and the Unitary Authorities formerly within Berkshire and Hampshire.   
 

Estimated resident population by broad ethnic group: mid-2009

Area

Total Persons (thousands)

White: British or Irish

White: Other White

Mixed

Asian or Asian British

Black or Black British

Chinese or Other Ethnic Group

ENGLAND

51,809.7

83.9%

3.6%

1.8%

6.1%

2.9%

1.6%

SOUTH EAST

8,435.7

86.7%

4.0%

1.7%

4.2%

1.9%

1.5%

Hampshire

1,289.4

91.8%

2.8%

1.3%

2.1%

1.0%

1.1%

Basingstoke and Deane

163.3

89.4%

3.4%

1.6%

2.6%

1.4%

1.6%

East Hampshire

111.9

92.8%

2.8%

1.2%

1.7%

0.9%

0.8%

Eastleigh

120.8

91.5%

2.6%

1.3%

2.8%

0.7%

1.0%

Fareham

111.5

93.2%

2.2%

1.0%

2.1%

0.7%

0.9%

Gosport

80.0

93.9%

1.8%

1.1%

1.5%

0.6%

1.0%

Hart

91.2

90.2%

3.6%

1.4%

2.5%

1.2%

1.2%

Havant

116.5

93.7%

2.1%

1.1%

1.6%

0.6%

0.9%

New Forest

176.4

93.5%

2.5%

1.2%

1.4%

0.7%

0.7%

Rushmoor

91.1

87.7%

3.6%

1.5%

3.3%

1.8%

2.2%

Test Valley

113.4

92.3%

2.6%

1.2%

1.8%

0.9%

1.3%

Winchester

113.3

91.4%

3.2%

1.3%

2.1%

1.2%

1.0%

Surrey

1,113.1

84.3%

5.4%

1.9%

4.4%

2.1%

1.8%

Elmbridge

130.6

81.5%

7.4%

2.3%

4.8%

1.8%

2.1%

Epsom and Ewell

72.7

80.9%

5.9%

2.3%

5.9%

2.6%

2.2%

Guildford

135.7

84.4%

5.7%

1.7%

3.5%

2.8%

1.8%

Mole Valley

83.8

88.1%

4.3%

1.7%

3.1%

1.6%

1.3%

Reigate and Banstead

136.1

84.4%

5.0%

2.0%

4.5%

2.9%

1.3%

Runnymede

83.9

82.8%

6.8%

1.8%

4.6%

1.8%

2.1%

Spelthorne

92.6

83.3%

4.8%

2.1%

5.5%

1.9%

2.5%

Surrey Heath

83.9

85.9%

4.5%

1.9%

4.1%

1.4%

2.0%

Tandridge

82.2

86.0%

4.5%

1.8%

3.2%

3.0%

1.1%

Waverley

119.3

88.4%

4.4%

1.7%

2.8%

1.6%

1.3%

Woking

92.4

81.4%

5.5%

2.2%

7.1%

1.7%

2.2%

Former Berks/Hants Unitaries

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bracknell Forest UA

115.1

84.6%

5.0%

1.8%

4.3%

2.3%

1.9%

Portsmouth UA

203.5

85.2%

3.6%

1.5%

4.9%

2.2%

2.7%

Reading UA

151.8

75.6%

6.3%

2.7%

8.4%

4.3%

2.6%

Slough UA

128.4

58.7%

5.5%

3.0%

25.8%

5.1%

2.2%

Southampton UA

236.7

82.6%

4.3%

2.2%

6.4%

2.2%

2.3%

West Berkshire UA

153.0

89.2%

4.1%

1.5%

2.5%

1.5%

1.2%

Windsor and Maidenhead UA

143.8

80.7%

6.6%

2.0%

7.3%

1.5%

1.9%

Wokingham UA

161.9

85.0%

4.3%

1.8%

4.9%

2.2%

2.0%

Source: Population Estimates by Ethnic Group (experimental statistics), ONS, May 2011
© Crown copyright 2011

Notes